The US presidential election has taken a dramatic new turn with the sudden illness of Hillary Clinton, and a tightening in the opinion polls. Could Donald Trump actually win? Gideon Rachman discusses with the FT’s chief political commentator Philip Stephens and Shawn Donnan, the world trade editor based in the Washington bureau.
Forecasts about geopolitics and economics are often distorted by flawed institutional incentives and a range of cognitive biases. Dan Drezner, a professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, tells Cardiff Garcia and Mary Childs how forecasters typically go wrong, and he outlines what he calls the five “known unknowns” that will frame the political economy of the next generation. The three also discuss the foreign policy views of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Visit FT.com/Alphachat for show notes and links.
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