Hard Currency

The pound, the yen and the dollar have dominated FX in 2016, putting the euro in the shade. But as Dominic Bunning of HSBC tells Roger Blitz, there is growing resilience in the performance of the single currency and that is set to continue.

 

A pick-up in the pound, a call to rethink Federal Reserve strategy, yen strength and US rate hike talk awoke FX traders from their sunbeds. Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes sifts through the week’s developments and tells Roger Blitz which of them really matters

 

Stephen Gallo from the Bank of Montreal looks back at China’ s move to devalue its currency a year ago, and tells Michael Hunter that policymakers have since adopted a softly-softly approach to ensuring the renminbi can reflect the rebalancing of its economy while also adapting to conditons on the global market.

 

The Bank of England’s rate cut, a stuttering US economy and the ongoing difficulties of the eurozone should help currencies linked to commodities and strong emerging markets, Koon Chow of UBP tells Michael Hunter.

 

The outlook for policy at central banks id back at the forefront of the market. Hans Redeker, global head of FX strategy at Morgan Stanley, joins Michael Hunter to discuss if policymakers will ever have conditions that are ‘practically perfect in every way’ before they can act

 

The dollar is on the rise, suggesting the market is either unfazed by the prospect of a Trump presidency or has yet to focus on it. Jordan Rochester of Nomura tells Roger Blitz that a Trump triumph wouldn’t be the first “shock” to be ignored by the market

 

Steven Englander of Citigroup tells Roger Blitz why global concerns have moved on from the UK’s European travails to the search for yield, China and Trump

 

The UK vote was a shock, but is it a systemic one? Michael Metcalfe of State Street tells Roger Blitz there are already signs that the rest of the world can quarantine the impact of Brexit around the UK

 

With sterling heading south and no sign of an end to UK political instability, the market will be looking to the Bank of England governor to calm nerves, Baring Asset Management’s Alan Wilde tells Roger Blitz

 

In an EU referendum special, Roger Blitz discusses the short and long-term consequences of the shock victory for the Leave camp with FX strategists Simon Derrick of BNY Mellon and Kit Juckes of Societe Generale. They also discuss where the pain will be felt the most.